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The danger of busting by hitting 16 is outweighed by the likelihood you may lose should you stand. One easy way to take a look at it is to play as if the vendor's facedown card is a 10. Since 10-value cards (10, jack, queen, king) comprise four of the 13 denominations within the deck, that's the single most likely value of any unseen card. Therefore, when you have 16 and the vendor's up-card is a 7, you're guessing that the more than likely vendor whole is 17. The supplier would stand on 17 to beat your sixteen; due to this fact, you should hit the 16 to have one of the best probability to win. Splitting lets you make 2 arms when you are dealt a pair of cards.